Global · Technological

EMP Event

Watch

A high-altitude nuclear detonation or comparable event producing an electromagnetic pulse that destroys unshielded electronics.

33/ 100 risk index
Likelihood
Low; requires a nuclear-armed hostile actor
Impact
Civilisation-changing over the affected continent
Horizon
Tied to nuclear escalation

Background

What this actually is

A warhead detonated 100-400 km up produces three pulse components. E1 is nanosecond-fast and destroys semiconductors directly. E2 resembles lightning. E3 behaves like a severe geomagnetic storm and attacks transformers.

Effects cover the line of sight from the burst — potentially a continent from a single device. Unlike a ground burst, there are no immediate casualties, no blast and little fallout. The damage is entirely infrastructural, which is why it is attractive as a coercive option.

Recovery is slow for the same reason as a severe CME: destroyed grid transformers cannot be replaced quickly, and the factories that make them need power.

Aotearoa

What it means for New Zealand

NZ is not a plausible standalone EMP target. The realistic exposure is to an EMP event affecting a major trading partner, which produces the same trade and financial shock as any large-scale conflict. Domestic preparation is identical to CME preparation.

Watch for

Early warning signs

  • Nuclear escalation indicators generally
  • State actors testing high-altitude delivery capability

Action

How to prepare

  1. 01

    Same as extended grid failure: water, food, heat, light, comms, cash

  2. 02

    Keep a spare radio and torch in a sealed metal container if you want belt-and-braces protection

  3. 03

    Keep older, non-electronic tools and a vehicle you can start without a network

Go deeper

Where to find more information

In an emergency

New Zealand's official channels

In a life-threatening emergency call 111. RNZ National is New Zealand's designated lifeline broadcaster — keep a battery radio.

Connected

Related threats

Get prepared

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